The UK's online retail market is growing six times faster than high street sales, now being predicted to exceed £37 billion in 2014 according to a report by Webloyalty and Verdict Research, which foresees significant changes coming in the traditional retail environment.
The report found that e-retail spending will grow by some £14 billion (an increase of 61%) from 2010 to 2014. Webloyalty argues that this rapid growth is being driven by shoppers shifting their spending online for the sake of convenience, and coincides with the expected boom in the role of mobile phones and smart phones in the shopping experience.
The report maps the future of the UK's high street retailers, suggesting that mobile retail will drive many dramatic changes. More consumer spending will continue to migrate online, and the report predicts that physical retailers' online sales will grow by 69.8% compared to only 7.3% for sales in their bricks-and-mortar stores between 2010 and 2014.
The company reports that at least 40,000 retail outlets have left the high street during the past decade, and that this trend is likely to continue with many familiar brands disappearing completely from town centres as they focus instead on web-based and mobile-based retail operations.
"We estimate that online retail will increase by 61% from 2010 to 2014. As a result, shoppers will need to prepare for a radical change in their local high street, which will become less about shopping and more about the experience," said Neil Saunders of Verdict Research. "Apple is clearly ahead of the game, as their stores have already become a 'destination' rather than just 'a shop'. You can look at, touch, and even try out the products, talk to real experts, and make your decision but then buy online."
The role of mobile phones in the way we shop is expected to alter significantly. More than half (52%) of UK consumers currently use their mobiles during the purchasing process, but in the next five years this is expected to hit 80%. The next step, Saunders suggested, will be the use of mobile phones as part of the shopping experience: "Soon, consumers won't think about hitting the high street without their smart phone. It will be absolutely essential, not only to browse, but for how they pay, find products, and get the best deals and discounts."
According to the report, the high street shopping experience of the future will look and feel very different from today's experience. For example:
The full report has been made available for free download from Webloyalty's web site - click here (PDF document; no registration needed).
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